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Monthly Archives: June 2017

Terry Broaders

Weekly Update June 30 2017

“May You Live Long And Prosper ” – Mr. Spock

 

Farewell To You All

I remember that Odette and I started the Weekly Update many years ago in the early 90’s. Back then before the internet we would watch the business news on TV and scramble as fast as we could to write down and formulate the details. We would then fax it out to you individually from our old thermal paper fax machine.

That’s a long time ago and it is hard for Odette and I to believe that it has now come to this; our last day of work before retirement!
We have truly enjoyed being of service to you and we will sincerely miss you. Be assured that whatever we did, whatever decisions we made we always did with your best interests at heart. We truly and always put You First.  We are confident that we leave you now in strong competent hands with Anthony and his team.

Enjoy your lives and be good and kind to all those around you. It’s a quick trip and it goes fast.

Thank you all from the bottom of our hearts.

Peace And Love To You All FOREVER!

Terry Broaders

Weekly Update June 23 2017

“Well Begun Is Half Done” – Aristotle

 

TSX Rallies On Resource Stocks

Canada’s main stock index rallied on the strength of resource stocks, but shares in BlackBerry plunged after its first-quarter sales failed to meet expectations. The S&P/TSX composite index advanced 99.66 points to 15,319.56, with the base metals and gold sectors leading the way. Blackberry shares dropped more than 12% after the company announced a profit of US$671 million in its latest quarter, despite revenue falling to US$235 million compared with US$400 million a year ago. In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average shed 2.53 points to 21,394.76. The S&P 500 edged up 3.80 points to 2,438.30, while the Nasdaq composite gained 28.56 points at 6,265.25. The Canadian dollar was trading 0.15 of a U.S. cent lower to an average price of US75.37¢. The August crude contract was up US27¢ at US$43.01 per barrel and the July natural gas contract advanced US4¢ at US$2.93 per mmBTU. The August gold contract gained US$7 at US$1,256.40 an ounce and the July copper contract added US3¢ at US$2.62 a pound.

 

Canada’s Most ‘Emotional’ Investors Revealed 

Do you ever wonder why some people seem more prone to making rash or emotional investment decisions? Well, a new survey reveals which groups are most likely to buy stocks based on headlines and hype. Conducted by Hennick Wealth Management, the survey of Canadian investors found that higher income earners ($75K – $150K+) were more likely to make an investment decision based on a ‘hunch’ or a tip from a friend. 11.8% of high income earners said they would buy a stock solely on a friend’s recommendation compared with just 5.3% of low-to-mid income earners ($0K-74K.)

Men (13.7%) were twice as likely to make emotional investments and buy stocks based on a hunch than women (7.5%). Men (34.2%) were also much more like to buy a stock based on the recommendation of a friend compared with women (27.8%). “Men seem particularly influenced by ‘insider advice’ from other males when investing,” said Adam Hennick of Hennick Wealth Management.  “If you do take investment advice for a friend, try to do it from your friends that have been successful in investing. This seems obvious, but sometimes our desire to act on a hot tip can overwhelm our logic. Ask yourself, is this a person who’s actually done financially well in investing, or someone who just talks a good game.”

All savvy investors know that making decisions based on emotions is a recipe for disaster, so it should come as no surprise that 22.7% of Canadians said they have regretted an investment decision they made that was based on emotion. A staggering 69.2% of men with a high income regretted making an investment decision based on a hunch or gut instinct.

Sources: Bloomberg; Investment Executive; advisor.ca

Frank Mueller

Weekly Update – June 16, 2017

“No man has a good enough memory to be a successful liar” – Abraham Lincoln

Toronto Stock Exchange Finishes Down For the Week as Financials, Energy and Minerals Slump

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index rose 31.97 points, to finish at 15,192.54, as 6 of the 10 main sectors finished higher than they opened. For the week, the TSX was down 280.67 points, and on Thursday, the TSX dropped to a 6-month low. The usual suspects were at work this week, with the financial, energy and mineral sectors retreating.

Oil suffered a steep drop on Wednesday before rebounding slightly to close out the week. Gold dropped by $14 per ounce for the week, to finish up at $1,255.20 per ounce. Earlier in the week, the heavyweight banks fell off after some gains last week.

The possibility of a Bank of Canada rate hike in the near future was raised on Monday on comments from a Bank of Canada senior official.

Amazon Announces Deal to Buy Whole Foods, Federal Reserve Raises Key Rate

South of the border, the Federal Reserve opted to raise its key rate to a range of 1% – 1.25%, its highest level since the Global Economic Crisis of 2008. Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s commentary on the matter has led some analysts to conclude that another rate hike will be coming later this year. Analysts are weighing how much the rate increase will affect the economy.

In other news, Amazon announced a major deal to buy Whole Foods for $13.7 Billion. This announcement led to downswings in the consumer staples sector, and these drops weighed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) overall, resulting in a muted rise of 24.38 points to close up at 21,384.28 overall.

The NASDAQ was pulled lower by Apple – among others – to drop 13.74 points to finish at 2,433.15.

U.S. home starts dropped for the third straight month in May.

Sources: Globe Advisor

Frank Mueller

Weekly Update – June 9, 2017

“An ounce of performance is worth pounds of promises” – Mae West

Toronto Stock Exchange Rises to End a Busy Week

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index, bolstered by strong Canadian jobs data and gains in the financial sector, rose by 50.12 points to close at 15,473.21 to close out a news-filled week. However, only 3 of the 10 main sectors posted gains for the day.

Statistics Canada reported a substantial rise in employment levels for May. The Canadian workplace added 77,000 new full-time jobs in May. Somewhat ironically, the unemployment rate actually rose to 6.6%, due to an increase in people entering the jobs market. Still, the May jobs numbers offer no sign of a market slowdown, so we can expect the economy to continue its trajectory in the short-term. Job gains for the month were highest in BC, Ontario and Quebec.

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week at 21,271.97 on a rise of 89.44 points, the S&P 500 lost 2.02 points to close at 2,431.77 and the NASDAQ slipped by 113.85 to close at 6,207.92.

“Triple Threat Thursday”, Part I

The much-anticipated open-session testimony of former F.B.I. Director James Comey took place on Thursday morning. Mr. Comey testified that he took detailed notes of his meetings with President Trump because he felt Mr. Trump would lie about those meetings. He further asserted that in his opinion, he was directed by Mr. Trump to end the F.B.I. investigation of former National Security Advisor Mike Flynn. Mr. Comey also said he believed he was fired because of the investigation into Russia’s meddling in the 2016 Presidential Election.

Initial reaction to the testimony in the markets appears to have been muted, with some analysts feeling that Mr. Comey’s testimony wasn’t damaging enough to the President to seriously threaten his position; however, it should be noted that Mr. Comey was later questioned by the Senate committee in a classified (closed-session) hearing that could be far more damaging to the Mr. Trump and his administration.

“Triple Threat Thursday”, Part II

European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi signaled that he had no plans to cut back the bank’s stimulus, even though reports of the Euro zone growing rapidly on Thursday morning. Mr. Draghi stated that he expects the ECB will “be in the market for a long time”. His commentary led to a jump in European bonds and a short-lived drop in the Euro and bank shares, as signs of a Euro zone bank rescue in Italy led to a rebound in bank and energy stocks.

“Triple Threat Thursday”, Part III

In what could gently be called a “political gamble gone awry”, British Prime Minister Theresa May’s calling for a snap election – designed to strengthen her majority – did not end the way she’d have liked. She called for an election a month ago, emboldened by a double-digit lead in the polls, and with the goal of silencing those who wanted to stop or reverse the Brexit process.

Her goal gaining on her majority backfired, as the Conservative Party lost 13 seats, dropping from a Majority Government holding 331 seats in the 2015 Election down to a 318-seat Minority Government.

The resulting uncertainty around the Minority Government led to the largest drop in the Pound Sterling in 8 months, before it rebounded slightly on Friday.

Sources: Globe Advisor, Huffington Post, The Guardian

Terry Broaders

Weekly Update June 2 2017

“In Nature Nothing Exists Alone” – Rachel Carson

 

U.S. Markets Hit Records In Spite of Weaker Than Expected Jobs Datat

U.S. stock markets shrugged off weaker than expected jobs data and hit all-time highs, while lower oil prices weighed on the Toronto stock market. The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index retreated 27.16 points to 15,442.75, while the loonie lost 0.02 of a cent to US74.05¢. South of the border, all three of the main stock indexes hit new records, with the Dow Jones industrial average gaining 62.11 points to 21,206.29. The S&P 500 index added 9.01 points to 2,439.07 while the Nasdaq composite index rose 58.97 points to 6,305.80.
Canadian exports climbed to a record in April and first-quarter labour productivity approached a three-year high, further evidence that the economy is recovering after a long slump caused by low oil prices. In commodities news, the July oil contract was down US70¢ to US$47.66 per barrel.

 

IMF Warns About Housing and Household Debt 

The International Monetary Fund is warning about the risks to the Canadian economy due to a possible correction in the housing market and urged governments to do more to protect against them. In the preliminary findings of its annual review of the Canadian economy, the IMF said Wednesday that a further tightening of macroprudential and tax-based measures to mitigate speculative and investment activity should be considered. It also called for greater co-ordination between federal and provincial regulators as well as government efforts to collect more comprehensive data on real estate transactions.
Ottawa has moved several times in recent years to tighten mortgage lending rules, including expanded stress tests on mortgages. A foreign buyer tax of 15% was implemented in the Vancouver region last summer, while Ontario recently announced plans for a similar levy for the Greater Toronto Area. Cheng Hoon Lim, the IMF’s mission chief for Canada, said there are a few policies that could help deter speculation in the housing market and alleviate concerns about rising debt burdens. “Among these measures, a cap on household debt to income or more stringent qualification criteria for household debt above a certain threshold will go directly to addressing household indebtedness,” she said. The IMF also encouraged B.C. and Ontario to replace their foreign buyer taxes. “This could include a combination of prudential and tax-based measures that discourage speculative activity without discriminating between residents and non-residents,” it said.

Sources: Bloomberg; Investment Executive; advisor.ca